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Copyright © 2014 by SDTC™ Sustainable Development Business Case 23

6.3 Industrial

Based on the prevailing market trends and input from key stakeholders, the following Vision Statement has been derived for the industrial sub-sector in Canada.

Industrial Sub-Sector Vision Statement

By the year 2030, commercialization of new technologies in the industrial sub-sector in Canada will:

• achieve GHG emissions reductions of 4.6 Mt-CO 2 e per year from the business as usual emissions projection;

• achieve annual CAC emission reductions of 7.1 kt-NO x , 3.1 kt-SO x , 0.36 kt-PM, 0.39 kt-VOCs, and 2.4 kt-CO.

A graphical representation of the Vision Statement is shown in Figure 17 for GHG emissions.

Figure 17: Industrial Sub-Sector Vision Statement, GHG Emissions

2015 2020 2025 2030

Year

170

180

190

200

210

220

Business as Usual

Industrial

Business as Usual Details

Business as usual GHG emissions are based on the following projections contained within the NEB Energy Future Report:

• Natural gas consumption within the industrial sub-sector;

• Grid electricity consumption within the industrial sub-sector. This was included since one technology considered, industrial CHP, will offset the use of grid electricity.

In the business as usual case, GHG emissions increase from 173 Mt in 2014 to 229 Mt in 2030. Key drivers for this trend are discussed in Section 4.2.