Page 25 - SD_NG_BC

Copyright © 2014 by SDTC™ Sustainable Development Business Case 19

6.1 Residential

Based on the prevailing market trends and input from key stakeholders, the following Vision Statement has been derived for the residential sub-sector in Canada.

Residential Sub-Sector Vision Statement

By the year 2030, commercialization of new technologies in the residential sub-sector in Canada will:

• achieve GHG emissions reductions of 2.4 Mt-CO 2 e per year from the business as usual emissions projection;

• achieve annual CAC emission reductions of 3.0 kt-NO x , 0.73 kt-SO x , 0.16 kt-PM, 0.23 kt-VOCs, and 0.86 kt-CO.

A graphical representation of the Vision Statement is shown in Figure 15 for GHG emissions.

Figure 15: Residential Sub-Sector Vision Statement, GHG Emissions

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

86

2015 2020 2025 2030

Year

Business as Usual

Residential

Business as Usual Details

Business as usual GHG emissions are based on the following projections contained within the NEB Energy Future Report:

• Natural gas consumption within the residential sub-sector;

• Grid electricity consumption within the residential sub-sector. This was included since one technology considered, micro-CHP, will offset the use of grid electricity.

In the business as usual case, GHG emissions increase from 74 Mt in 2014 to 85 Mt in 2030. Key drivers for this trend are discussed in Section 4.2.